Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FTM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.432781 0.508103 0.590647 0.687552 0.797917 0.919412 1.062983
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.312478 0.411510 0.530772 0.683781 0.873560 1.099801 1.388364
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.227678 0.332081 0.468634 0.657615 0.909242 1.229277 1.663028
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.186572 0.296933 0.451670 0.679610 1.000990 1.431230 2.042569
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.155270 0.267509 0.435011 0.695701 1.081924 1.622042 2.420612
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.137755 0.254417 0.438191 0.737929 1.200869 1.872116 2.897390
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.114557 0.227149 0.414471 0.734593 1.249634 2.023099 3.242018
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.094893 0.201688 0.389002 0.723660 1.283166 2.151265 3.559256
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.079688 0.181065 0.368036 0.716305 1.319651 2.284177 3.890007
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.070224 0.169510 0.361060 0.731269 1.392907 2.478391 4.326711
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.061582 0.157821 0.351869 0.740553 1.456254 2.659712 4.752874
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.053419 0.145428 0.339310 0.741617 1.504339 2.817862 5.149652
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.047090 0.136112 0.331997 0.752627 1.572765 3.017700 5.632940
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.040783 0.125478 0.320353 0.753693 1.622890 3.189612 6.080519
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.033453 0.110448 0.296662 0.727018 1.617356 3.262355 6.361387
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.030547 0.106517 0.297411 0.751669 1.713550 3.523791 6.987017
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.027571 0.101669 0.295209 0.769468 1.797199 3.766955 7.592868
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.026389 0.101861 0.305276 0.815621 1.942147 4.132713 8.438724
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.022934 0.094130 0.294206 0.812016 1.982970 4.303195 8.935337
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.019619 0.085891 0.280388 0.800104 2.004669 4.437438 9.370740
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.016929 0.078963 0.268854 0.792085 2.033598 4.586667 9.840696
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.015396 0.075771 0.267230 0.808408 2.117597 4.849974 10.540975
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.013839 0.072021 0.263372 0.818534 2.188200 5.089857 11.206943